March 31st, 2009 
Cambodia Economy AS the global economy slips into recession, domestic mobile-phone operators remain confident that Cambodia – a country with low mobile penetration rates and large untapped markets – will see mobile-phone usage continue to boom.
But with 11 mobile operators currently licensed in Cambodia, eight of which are operating, industry insiders say consolidation is likely once the market settles and the sector starts to mature.
“Cambodia provides a unique opportunity,” said Syed Azmeer, chief marketing officer of mobile operator Hello. “If you look at the whole Mekong Basin or Indochina markets, this is one of the last untapped markets.”
Hello, which is owned by Telekom Malaysia International, launched its new 081 phone prefix last month, and Azmeer said economic development and a heavy investment in infrastructure would drive the sector forward. “We’ve seen a good uptake in the last two years. We have a lot more people who can afford to own a phone now,” he said.
Thomas Hundt, the CEO of Smart Mobile – a local subsidiary of Russian firm Latelz Co Ltd, which became Cambodia’s eighth operator when it launched in February – said prospects for growth were “significant”, and would compensate for any downturn in the global economy.
“Despite the economic crisis, Cambodia is still developing. In countries where development is taking place, telecommunications is one of the vital drivers,” he said.
Room to move
Despite the heated competition in the Cambodian market, Hundt said that “poor” customer service levels and an undistributed market gave a lot of room for operators to carve out their own niche. “Despite the fact that there is a clear market leader, there are still significant developments to come in all dimensions of telecommunications,” he added.
“There is a lot of potential and a lot of investments have been made.”
While mobile phones have become ubiquitous in Phnom Penh and the major provincial towns, their presence conceals the fact that the market is still largely in its infancy.
Hello CEO Yusoff Zamri said although Cambodia had a SIM card penetration rate of around 30 percent, the figure overrated the true number of mobile users. He said that since many locals owned more than one phone, the estimated 3.8 million SIM cards in circulation translated to perhaps 3 million actual subscribers – leaving a market of nearly 12 million who are yet to enter the sector.
He added that Telekom Malaysia has invested “in excess of $100 million” in capital investments for the coming years, an indication of the company’s confidence in the sector.
Price war
But in an unsettled, price-sensitive mobile market, some say that eight operators – leaving aside the three players that have been issued licences by the government but have not yet launched services – will saturate the local market and that local costs, while a benefit to consumers, would drive down profitability.
“Eight operators is too many,” said Pasi Koistinen, CEO of Star Cell Mobile, owned by local operator Applifone Co Ltd. While low prices would be a boon for consumers, he said that there would be “no room” for new entrants, and that a price war would undercut companies’ ability to conduct profitable business.
Some sort of consolidation was therefore inevitable, he said, and the 11 licences would likely shrink as firms merged or bowed out of the market.
Indeed, Asia’s most developed economies have substantially consolidated local mobile operations: just three major state-owned operators make up the majority of the Chinese market, while Japan has five operators and Thailand four. Vietnam also has just four major players, although several new ventures are set to come online this year.
Hundt from Smart Mobile said consolidation would take place “in the medium to long term”, but its exact form was hard to guess.
“I don’t know any country in the world where eight or nine MP operators are in place,” he said.
One method, said Hello CEO Yusoff Zamri, was direct government intervention in the sector. Zamri said Cambodia could follow the same path as Malaysia, which had eight operators until the government stepped in and forced them to merge with one another.
“What the government did was to force the companies to consolidate and let them talk amongst themselves and [work things out]. A couple years later, the number went down to three,” he said. However, he added that consolidation depended largely on how willing the government was to intervene in a freely competitive market to “push” for consolidations.
In an interview with the Post March 23, So Khun, Minister of Posts and Telecommunications, acknowledged that there were natural limits to the number of operators who could profitably operate in the domestic market, but that its international free trade obligations prevented it from forcing companies to consolidate. “I think Cambodia should have only three mobile service providers, but we can’t limit the number we have as Cambodia is a member of the World Trade Organisation,” he said.
Mao Chakrya, director general of the ministry, said the government would let open competition determine which operators prospered.
“The market is still there because penetration is still low, and the operators can see this,” he said.
How the sector will settle over the next 10 years will be determined in large part on how operators can differentiate their services from one another.
Aside from the standard virtues of value for money and reliability, another potential frontier is technological innovation. With the launch of the qb (pronounced cube) network last March, 3G mobile internet services were pushed to the forefront of the Cambodian market.
Mao Chakrya said three operators – MobiTel, qb and M-Fone – were operating mobile internet services, and Hundt said Smart Mobile would introduce a 3G service later in the year.
Azmeer from Hello said the adoption of new electronic credit top-up technologies would increase the willingness of people to adopt mobile technologies.
“What’s important here is the synergy between the bank and the telco,” he said, adding that Hello was the first company to give its customers access to Wing services.
“We have the capacity and the security on the network to provide that [service].”
Source: The Phnom Penh Post
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